Our key takeaway: The data is clear: our use of natural resources and materials is increasing at a rate that will make it near impossible to deliver our climate and biodiversity goals of keeping to 1.5 degrees of warming and protecting and restoring natural ecosystems. Our use of natural resources has increased more than three times over the last 50 years and is projected to increase by 60% by 2060. The data shows that unsustainable resource use i.e., transgressing planetary boundaries is coupled with improved human development outcomes. UNEP’s report outlines a Sustainable Transition pathway that decouples resource use, environmental impacts and human well-being and development. As part of this scenario modelling, a just transition is core to efforts to achieve the sustainable use and management of natural resources while placing justice and sufficiency (reducing resource use in contexts of higher consumption and increasing resource use in low-development contexts) at the centre of such efforts. The report issues a call to action: “The science is clear. The key question is no longer whether a transformation towards global sustainable resource consumption and production is necessary, but how to make it happen now.”
The UN Environment Programme (UNEP) published Bend the trend: Pathways to a liveable planet as resource use spikes (March 2024):